Archive for August, 2011
Posted by Larry Doyle on August 17th, 2011 4:33 PM |
BOMBSHELL!!!
Since early 2009 I have written at length about the regulatory capture that has dominated the financial industry. I have defined this concept in layman’s terms as the Wall Street-Washington incest. Today a close friend and regular reader of Sense on Cents shares a story which blows the cover off this incest.
This story is written by Rolling Stone’s Matt Taibbi, perhaps Wall Street’s greatest nemesis. I commend him and those from whom he has sourced this information to have the courage of their conviction and the embodiment of the true American spirit to bring this story to light.
I ardently believe this expose should lead to public Congressional hearings and ultimately a federal judicial inquiry. Might it be the beginning of the end for Mary Schapiro? (more…)
Tags: Adam Storch SEC coverup, Darcy Flynn and Gary Aguirre, Darcy Flynn whistleblower, destruction of records at SEC, did SEC destroy records, Harry Markopolos, helping whistleblowers, insider trading on Wall Street, is Wall Street on the up and up, jesse Lee Obama communications director, Mary Schapiro, Matt taibbi Is the SEC Covering Up Wall Street's Crimes?, matter under investigation, POGO, regulatory capture, Robert Khuzami, Rolling Stone's Matt Taibbi, SEC and SAC, SEC Attorney Darcy Flynn, SEC destruction of Bernie Madoff records, SEC destruction of material, SEC destruction of records Goldman Sachs, SEC destruction of records of insider trading, SEC Deutsche Bank, SEC records on Bernie Madoff, SEC revolving door, Wall Street-Washington incest, what is a MUI, who is Darcy Flynn, will Mary Schapiro leave the SEC, will Mary Schapiro step down, will Obama replace Mary Schapiro
Posted in General | 19 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on August 16th, 2011 10:20 AM |
With a number of items on my calendar over the next few weeks, I am taking a sabbatical from Sense on Cents for the balance of the month.
While I may not be providing regular commentary, I hope you may want to avail yourself of some of the fabulous resources which I have collated here.
These links are integral to our efforts to help people ‘navigate the economic landscape’. The links include the following: (more…)
Tags: financial websites, Larry Doyle, market websites, navigate accordingly, Sense on Cents, Sense on Cents Career Planning, Sense on Cents Economic All Stars, Sense on Cents Financial Primers, Sense on Cents media appearances, Sense on Cents radio interviews, Sense on Cents Watchdogs, website to learn about the economy, websites to learn about the markets
Posted in General | 10 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on August 15th, 2011 6:00 AM |
The twists and turns in the ongoing saga of the auction-rate securities nightmare are replete with some of the most gut-wrenching personal stories I have experienced.
Regulators like to trumpet the progress made on cleaning up the ARS mess over the years.
Let’s hold the applause for these regulators because a full three and a half years have passed and approximately $100 billion remains frozen in those ARS which were pitched as cash surrogate, money market equivalent securities.
Over and above the cash, little attention is paid by the media or others to elevate and expose the personal nightmares of those individuals and businesses which continue to hold these frozen ARS. (more…)
Tags: ARPS, ARS, ARS scam, ARS scandal, ARS settlements, Auction Rate Securities, Auction Rate Securities scandal, how to get my ARS money back, Jefferson County Alabama Water & Sewer Bonds, Jefferson County potential bankruptcy, Morgan Keegan Acceptance Form, Morgan Keegan ARS Jefferson County, Morgan Keegan ARS update, Morgan Keegan Jefferson County retail investors, Morgan Keegan Joe Barkley, Raymond James Jefferson County ARS, retail ARS investors, return of ARS funds, return of frozen ARS funds, SEC and FINRA ARS settlements, when will I get my ARS funds back, will Jefferson County declare bankruptcy
Posted in ARPS, ARS, Auction Rate Securities scandal, General | 6 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on August 11th, 2011 9:01 AM |
Recent market volatility is clearly unnerving.
I believe the volatility is exacerbated by the general decline in broad based participation in the markets over the last few years. Additionally, the growth in derivatives, both within the equity and fixed income markets, has served to accentuate the swings.
I described these swings and the accompanying spike in volatility as the equivalent of an Adult Swim Only a few days ago when I wrote, What Caused the Market Meltdown?.
What are the implications for a market in which there is a lack of broad based participation?
To an ever increasing extent, professional traders study the charts and perform technical analysis to determine likely levels of support and resistance.
On that note, let’s navigate and review a chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average which takes us back 5 years and provides a fabulous view of the recent cliff dive along our market landscape. (more…)
Tags: 5 year chart of the DJIA, Adult Swim only, chart analysis, chart of equity markets, charts of stock market, classic head and shoulders, graph of the DJIA, growth in derivatives, head and shoulders, head and shoulders formation bd, market patterns, market volatility, professional trading, technical analysis, technical trading, what is a head and shoulders formation, what is causing market volatility, where is the market headed
Posted in General | 1 Comment »
Posted by Larry Doyle on August 10th, 2011 5:47 AM |
Have you ever officially read a Federal Reserve statement?
Many market participants rip apart Fed statements within seconds of release looking for key words or phrases to decipher the path of future Fed policy.
Often reading a Fed statement is like reading a Tarot card as the ‘great and all powerful Fed’ provides sufficient obfuscation in order to cover a whole slew of bases.
Yesterday’s Federal Reserve statement struck me as far different from those in the past as it left very little to interpretation. (more…)
Tags: Ben Bernanke, chances of a double dip recession, did our economy ever get out of recession, did we ever get out of recession, economic outlook August 2011, federal funds rate, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve outlook August 2011, Federal Reserve outlook for economy August 9 2011, Federal Reserve release August 2011, Federal reserve statement August 9 2011, how is our economy doing August 2011, how is the economy doing August 2011, how long is extended period for low rates, Larry Doyle Sense on Cents, news about economy august 2011, Tarot card, The Federal Reserve Comes Clean, the real economy, walking pneumonia economy August 2011, what about economy august 2011, what is going on with economy August 2011, what is happening with economy august 2011, when will our economy improve
Posted in General | 8 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on August 9th, 2011 9:39 AM |
In the course of a conversation yesterday with one of the wisest men I know, I remarked that the issues our nation faces are not political but rather mathematical.
The debate in Washington that put a choke hold on our nation, our economy, and our markets took partisan bickering to an entirely new level and focused on the politics.
In the true spirit of ‘sense on cents’ let’s focus on the numbers and reduce our issues and our problems into simple math. In the process, I hope we are all more educated as to the depths of our problems so we can then begin to address them.
I thank a dear friend who brought a recent fabulous presentation by Kleiner Perkins’ Mary Meeker to my attention. (more…)
Tags: addressing America's debt, America's future, American health and education rankings, an audit of the USA, analysing America's debt, analysing our fiscal situation, are we broke?, auditing our entitlement programs, costs of Social Security Medicare and Medicaid re, first you need to grow then raise revenues, how long can we fund our entitlement programs, Kleiner Perkins Mary Meeker, Mary Meeker, Mary Meeker Audits USA Inc., reviewing America's entitlement programs, Sense on Cents Hall of Fame, the debate in Washington, the math behind our fiscal problems, what will our future look like, where we are how we got here what may be next by Mary Meeker
Posted in General | 8 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on August 8th, 2011 7:59 PM |
That was not a lot of fun.
The 6% selloff in the market we witnessed today is obviously tremendously unnerving.
Professional traders and active managers who monitor market moves on a minute by minute basis will have their their own opinions as to what did happen and what will happen.
For those in the audience who appreciate and embrace the true spirit of ‘sense on cents’, while we listen to the spin provided by market mavens, esteemed economists, political pundits, and Washington wizards, let us not lose sight of the real fundamental issues which remain at the core of our American foundation. (more…)
Tags: a margin call on America, a tendency not to report bad news, America's margin call, BAC selloff, Bank of America selloff, Bert Ely, health of Bank of America, health of financial regulation, health of our financial regulatory system e, health of our political system, imminently solvable, implementation of Dodd-Frank, lack of confidence in America, lack of leadership in America, margin call on America, market reaction to Obama speech, market selloff August 8, need for term limits, Obama speech on August 8 afternoon, Obama's lack of economic policy, Ponzi style financing, reasons for market selloff, Regions Financial Probes Executives, SEC and other financial regulators, Sense on Cents, Wall Street-Washington incest, why did the market selloff on August 8th
Posted in General | No Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on August 8th, 2011 7:44 AM |
The sun did come up here on the east coast this morning. That is a very good thing. Life does go on.
Our fiscal life goes on as well. In many respects it is little changed but in others it is very much changed and will not soon be restored. As the emotions of many inside and outside of the markets are frayed as a result of S&P’s downgrade of the USA, let us keep our heads and maintain our ‘sense on cents‘ approach.
On that note, what are three questions I see many asking and how would I respond to them? (more…)
Tags: chances for disinflation or deflation, decline of US credit rating, forecast for the economy August 2011, how can we change Washington, need for entitlement reforms, need for term limits, reaction to S&P downgrade of US debt, reaction to the S&P downgrade, S&P downgrade, S&P downgrade of US debt, the boy who cried wolf, Tim Geithner reaction to US downgrade, Treasury Department reaction to S&P downgrade eaction to, Treasury rates after S&P downgrade, why aren't Treasury rates moving higher
Posted in General | 11 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on August 5th, 2011 7:55 PM |
The Wall Street Journal is reporting that Standard & Poors has just downgraded the credit rating of the United States from a AAA rating.
This is a HUUUUGE story. What do I see as the implications?
1. Short term lending markets will get tighter and activity will likely decline as the quality of what had been the highest quality collateral, US Treasury debt, is now downgraded.
These short term lending markets, also known as the repo market, are the liquidity in our financial markets’ engine. As the liquidity lessens and the cost of doing business increases, overall activity in the markets will be negatively impacted.
2. Other entities which had owned and used US Treasury debt for collateral purposes will be negatively impacted by the higher costs of holding lower quality debt. Other entities which were closely aligned with the US Treasury, such as Freddie and Fannie, will also be negatively impacted in terms of higher borrowing costs. (more…)
Tags: 2012 elections, Are you in?, barack obama's reelection campaign, Congressional campaign 2012, downgrade of United States, how will economy react to US downgrade, how will markets react to US downgrade, Jesse Lee obama communications, market reaction to US downgrade, obama reelection, quality of US Treasury collateral c, S&P downgrades US Debt rating, Standard adn Poors downgrades US debt, term limits, The Great Society, United States just got downgraded, what will happen with the downgrade of US debt, White House
Posted in General | 29 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on August 5th, 2011 9:13 AM |
The big exhale you may have just heard emanating from Washington follows a slightly better than expected unemployment report this morning.
I am happy to hear that the report is slightly better than expected and will address the particulars momentarily. I caution people not to make too much of this report, though. Why?
While the report may have exceeded expectations, let’s not lose sight of the fact that the expectations were not all that high at the outset.
Additionally, this report is backward looking. What have we seen and heard from a wide array of companies recently? Indications of further layoffs.
Those with a measure of ‘sense on cents‘ do not take reports on face value. Let’s dig a little deeper. (more…)
Tags: 2011, average workweek august 2011, Bureau of Labor Statistics, employment report august 5 2011, employment situation August 2011, Employment Situation Summary August 2011, hourly earnings august 2011, labor participation rate august 2011 p, labor report august 5 2011, Larry Doyle, NFP report august 5, nonfarm payroll report august 5 2011, Sense on Cents, unemployment rate august 2011, unemployment report august 2011, unemployment report august 5 2011, what is participation rate
Posted in Employment, General, Unemployment | 5 Comments »