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HomeNew York Times’ Thomas Friedman: “We Have to Demand the Truth”
Posted by Larry Doyle on February 22nd, 2010 6:05 AM |
Without the truth, we are mere slaves to a corrupt system and will never control or master our destiny.
I don’t write this premise whimsically nor do I accept it as a given. The fact is, our forefathers are rolling over in their graves right now given the fatuous culture our society has not only tolerated but promoted. I continually call for the pursuit of truth, transparency and integrity while navigating the economic landscape for the very reason that without these virtues we are doomed as a nation.
High five to AL for pointing out that none other than Thomas L. Friedman of The New York Times drills this very point in writing, The Fat Lady Has Sung. Whether you agree with Friedman’s politics is immaterial. (more…)
Fed Hikes the Discount Rate….$urprisingly Quick
Posted by Larry Doyle on February 18th, 2010 4:50 PM |
The Federal Reserve indicated on February 10th it was going to raise the discount rate ‘before long.’ Well, in this case, Ben Bernanke is a man of his word as the Fed just raised the discount rate by 25 basis points (.25%) effective tomorrow.
While many market participants had minimized the potential rise in the discount rate as not being significant, I was not and am not in that camp. In fact, the speed with which Bernanke raised the rate after indicating that he would do so ‘before long’ has caught the market by surprise.
What is the immediate market reaction? (more…)
Elizabeth Warren Calls for New Bank Stress Tests
Posted by Larry Doyle on February 11th, 2010 9:34 AM |
The initial Bank Stress Tests run by Treasury Secretary Geithner were largely a sham. I questioned as much last April in writing, “Bank Stress Tests: Major Sham?”:
As with any test, the results are only meaningful if the process and proctor have unquestioned integrity. The proctors for the Bank Stress Test are none other than Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner and Fed chair Ben Bernanke. Why is a testing authority of the magnitude of FDIC, led by Sheila Bair, not more involved in the process? Ms. Bair is the one individual in our country with the greatest level of interaction with and understanding of the student body, that being the banking industry as a whole and individual banks specifically.
What does the FDIC, led by Ms. Bair, have to say about the upcoming Bank Stress Tests? The New York Post provides a CHILLING perspective: (more…)
I Think Bernanke Just Indicated a Tightening
Posted by Larry Doyle on February 10th, 2010 10:52 AM |
Fed Chair Ben Bernanke
I think Fed Chair Ben Bernanke just sent a very clear sign that he is getting ready to start tightening monetary policy.
Be mindful that Bernanke, as with every Fed chair, chooses his wording very carefully. While many market strategists and economists seem to be dismissive of Bernanke’s comments this morning, I beg to differ. The fact that Bernanke used the phrase “before long” in regard to his view on a shift in the discount rate is a very clear sign that he will soon start to raise selected rates.
How did Bernanke deliver this message? (more…)
2009 Market Review
Posted by Larry Doyle on January 2nd, 2010 11:34 AM |
Time.
More than any period of the last thirty years, I think it is imperative to view the global economy and market prospects with a longer time horizon. Those in Washington and on Wall Street have never displayed the discipline nor the inclination to truly take this approach. I strongly encourage those reading Sense on Cents to view your personal situation and that of our global economy and market with a longer time horizon. Why?
I personally believe our global economy remains in the relatively early stages of a significant fundamental shift. Recall that the shadow banking system provided 40-45% of the credit to our domestic economy. That shadow banking system remains a mere shadow of itself. Pardon the pun.
Try as he might, Uncle Sam can not fill that credit void forever. Credit demand and credit supply remain overwhelmed by the mountain of debts at the federal, municipal, and personal levels. The bad debt embedded in toxic assets on Wall Street also remains. While selected segments of our private market can and will grow, the economy as a whole remains constrained by the aforementioned debts. The price to service these debts (that is, the prevailing level of interest rates) will likely move higher.
Can we experience a confluence of higher interest rates along with a general decline in wages and prices, that is the core of deflation? That double whammy scares the hell out of Fed Chair Ben Bernanke. These questions and prospects will not be answered anytime real soon. They will take time.
What is an individual to do? Continue to pay down debt and be disciplined in maintaining a diversified investment portfolio. On that note, let’s look back at 2009 so we can most effectively look forward to 2010 and navigate the economic landscape.
The figures I provide are year-end 2009 relative to year-end 2008, and the returns for the year. (more…)
Federal Reserve Says “One More Drink”
Posted by Larry Doyle on December 2nd, 2009 2:31 PM |
Illustration by Zhou Tao
I have to admit, I chuckled upon reading the news today that the Federal Reserve is debating whether and how it may fight the prospects of asset bubbles developing. The Wall Street Journal addresses this story in writing,
Fed Debates New Role: Bubble Fighter:
Not so long ago, Federal Reserve officials were confident they knew what to do when they saw bubbles building in prices of stocks, houses or other assets: Nothing.
Now, as Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke faces a confirmation hearing Thursday on a second four-year term, he and others at the central bank are rethinking the hands-off approach they’ve followed over the past decade. On the heels of a burst housing-and-credit bubble, Mr. Bernanke now calls financial booms “perhaps the most difficult problem for monetary policy this decade.”
With Asian property prices soaring and gold prices busting records almost daily, the debate comes at a critical time. Mr. Bernanke wants to use his powers as a bank regulator to stamp out bubbles, but the Senate Banking Committee, which will grill him later this week, is considering stripping the Fed of its regulatory power.
At the same time, pending legislation in the House could leave Mr. Bernanke running a less independent institution. The House Financial Services Committee has passed a measure that would subject the Fed’s interest-rate decisions to scrutiny by the Government Accountability Office, an investigative arm of Congress. Mr. Bernanke and others at the Fed fear that with Congress looking over their shoulders, any decision they make about interest rates would be subjected to the winds of politics — making it harder to control inflation or financial bubbles.
My immediate thought upon reading this article is to think of the bartender who is happy to push one more drink upon an overlubricated patron. Or perhaps a junkie who is willing to sell a down and out addict one more fix in order to ease the pain. (more…)
Will 2010 Bring Real Financial Regulatory Reform?
Posted by Larry Doyle on January 4th, 2010 12:04 PM |
Will the change in the calendar bring about change in the prospects for real financial regulatory reform? Will Wall Street and Washington recycle the streamers and party hats used for New Year’s Eve celebrations and declare that the market is up so all is well? If the general media allows the charlatans in Washington and their consorts on Wall Street to frame the regulatory reform debate, America should expect little to no change on this front. In the process, a tremendous opportunity will have been squandered and real risks for our collective future will remain.
The haggling over regulatory turf continues again with Ben Bernanke’s declaration yesterday that our housing crisis resulted not from excessively easy monetary policy but rather lax regulatory oversight of mortgage lending. Whose domain is that to regulate? Oh right, that is the charge of the Federal Reserve. The joke on the American public continues, given that Bernanke is not called on the carpet for that sort of grandstanding. (more…)
Tags: 2010, Ben Bernanke, Ben Bernanke comments January 3, Bernanke comments january 3 2010, Bernanke on lax oversight, Charlatans in Washington, Eliot Spitzer, Eliot Spitzer in The New Republic, end Finra, financial regulation, financial regulatory reform 2010, regulating financial markets, risks, self-regulation on Wall Street, Wall Street regulation, Walll Street SRO FINRA
Posted in FINRA, General, regulation | 1 Comment »