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Posts Tagged ‘DJIA’

Where Is The Market Headed?

Posted by Larry Doyle on August 2nd, 2010 9:59 AM |

In commentary written specifically for Sense on Cents, our friends from share some fabulous insights and perspectives on the ups and downs of the equity markets.

The Stock Market Is In Limbo—Which Way Will It Go?

An incredibly positive corporate earnings season in July has helped the market to discount immediate fears of a possible double dip recession. The strong corporate earnings reports, however, had to battle Ben Bernanke’s very dovish remarks, as he emphasized the slowing recovery in the U.S. and raised the possibility of Federal Reserve instituting further quantitative easing measures. Those bearish remarks by the Fed President regarding the possible future direction of the U.S. economy did cause equity markets to stall in the 3rd week of July, but now in the final week of the month, equity markets are again taking a shot at the HI’s from the month of June. (more…)

So Many Questions

Posted by Larry Doyle on March 7th, 2009 10:52 AM |

question-cubeIn the midst of any storm, one wonders what the landscape may look like when the dust settles. Well, our current economic tsunami is no mere rainy day at the beach. What will the landscape look like on the other side? Let’s ponder some of the questions we need to ask as we navigate forward:

1. Which companies will no longer exist as currently formulated?

2. Will companies become smaller, more simplified, with less financial engineering?

3. How will regulation of the financial industry look? Could it have a global basis? Will national interests prevail over global demands?

4. Where will the DJIA be on March 7, 2010? March 7, 2014?

5. What will the unemployment rate be on those dates?

6. What will Obama’s approval ratings look like on that first date? Which Obama program will be deemed successful? (more…)

Fibonacci Retracements

Posted by Larry Doyle on March 6th, 2009 12:40 PM |

I am going to assume that for the general public, the term Fibonacci Retracements is not part of the normal vocabulary. In helping people navigate the economic landscape, allow me to introduce you to a basic Wall Street practice utilized by many traders. Every investor can benefit from a basic understanding of this concept.

Major market indices trade based on fundamental analysis (cash flow, asset/liability, earnings ), technical analysis (price regressions), and psychology (measure of bullishness vs bearishness). Our friend Fibonacci falls into the technical analysis camp. I do not want to get overly involved in the arcane aspects of this concept, but it can be very useful in assessing market levels and market directions. (more…)

A Virtual Smorgasbord

Posted by Larry Doyle on March 2nd, 2009 4:24 PM |

On the heels of the news about AIG, Berkshire, and HSBC, the equity markets have found no support today and are down 4%. While the malaise of the markets has much of the focus, let’s review a few other items that I see on today’s menu:

1. In regard to AIG, current CEO Edward Liddy and former CEO Hank Greenberg have started some public feuding over the nature of AIG’s problems. Greenberg is trying to make the case that the risks underwritten at AIG occurred after his departure. Liddy responded that the culture, the compensation system, and the division housing the bulk of AIG’s risk all developed under Greenberg.  Wow!! When our country is screaming for leadership, we have senior executives playing the blame game and pointing fingers. How pathetic!! (more…)

February 2009 Market Review

Posted by Larry Doyle on February 28th, 2009 10:13 AM |

monthly-market-review1Prior to going to the comments section of my son’s report card, human nature dictates that I first look at the grades. In that same vein, let’s see how the markets performed for the month of February:


Let’s review my specific projections from the January 2009 Recap: (more…)

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