Posts Tagged ‘cooking the books’
Posted by Larry Doyle on August 1st, 2011 7:40 AM |
What now? What lies ahead on the challenging and winding road filled with clouds and great unknowns that defines our American economic landscape?
The political circus in Washington has clearly taken center stage over the last few weeks. Watching this show has been anything but entertaining and don’t think the theatrics do not harm our economy. They do.
Uncertainty breeds risk aversion and our economy needs people and businesses willing to take risks.
Can we assume that the passage of a bipartisan debt package means we can get back to business as usual and that the economy will rebound? Not so fast. (more…)
Tags: America needs term limits, Barclays revisions to GDP forecasts, cooking the books, details of debt deal, fixing politics, future of economy August 2011, GDP revisions, give us term limits, impact of credit rating downgrade, impact of quantitative easing, increase in debt ceiling, meaningful deficit reduction, means testing for entitlement programs, monetization of our debt, monetize the debt, need for campaign finance reform, political circus in Washington August 2011, public service was not meant to be a career, reforming our tax code, Terry Belton of JP Morgan, walking pneumonia economy, what does debt deal mean for our economy, what is ahead on our economic landscape, what lies ahead for our economy August 2011, will credit rating sagencies downgrade our debt, will debt deal help economy, will debt deal help nation, will we have a QE3 August 2011
Posted in General | 8 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on June 1st, 2011 9:30 AM |

While various and sundry soothsayers have been touting the relative merits of our housing market for the last few years, I did not have a constructive comment about housing until just six weeks ago when I wrote, Is It Getting Time To Buy a House?. Housing price data released yesterday confirmed that our nations’ housing market has, in fact, suffered a double dip.
Is my positive commentary on housing premature and akin to ‘catching a falling knife’? Why was I negative for so long? Why do I think the bottoming process will be prolonged? What do I see as a compelling reason why homeownership is becoming increasingly attractive? Let’s navigate.
1. Why was I negative for so long? (more…)
Tags: Capital Economics, cooking the books, factors supporting homeownership, factors to consider before purchasing a home, HAMP, home equity, homeownership, housing double dip, housing overhang, how long will it take housing to bottom, is it time to buy a home, liquidity of owning a home, median mortgage payments, mortgage debt, mortgage finance, Nothing Going Up But The Rent, owning vs renting, renting vs buying, should I buy a home now, size of shadow housing inventory, U.S. housing market, underwater mortgages, when will housing rebound
Posted in General, Housing Crisis, Mortgage Cram-Down, Mortgage Crisis, Mortgages | 4 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on September 21st, 2010 12:02 PM |
What is holding back our economy? Why isn’t there more credit available in our banking system?

I have answered these questions numerous times over the last two years BUT many in Washington pretend not to know the answer and pander to their constituencies in the process. Regular readers of Sense on Cents are well aware that the books of our banks–especially our largest money center banks–remain chock-filled with loans that are being valued far in excess of what they are truly worth. Let’s navigate.
I first addressed issues within the second mortgage and HELOC (home equity line of credit) space in Fall of 2008 (Sense on Cents/Second Mortgages). Here we are a full two years later and America still has not received a straight answer and a full accounting by the banks or their regulators as to this “sinkhole” on their books and in our economy.
Let’s dive into this hole, get a little dirty, and again expose the issues within this sector. (more…)
Tags: 12th Street Capital, American Banker, Anthony Sanders, Anthony Sanders of George Mason University, bank regulators, Bryan Hubbard, Catch-22, cooking the books, CoreLogic, ginat elephant in the room, helocs, home prices, housing, Housing Crisis, Jerry Dubrowski, Kevin Doyle of 12th Street Capital, Larry Doyle, Michael Cavanagh of JP Morgan, Mortgage Crisis, mortgage delinquencies, mortgage foreclosures, OCC, Rebel Cole of Depaul University, second liens, second mortgages, Sense on Cents, strategic defaults, underwater mortgages, Why Writedowns on Second Mortgages Are So Scarce
Posted in General | 10 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on May 25th, 2010 11:47 AM |
People can debate the relative strength of the economy all they want. I firmly believe that from a macro-level, our economy has years to go before it has a real chance to recover. Why years?
1. The banking system overall remains loaded with an excessive amount of delinquent loans. Uncle Sam will continue to siphon money from the American public and deliver it to the banks. In the process, these “earnings” will be utilized to write down the values of loans and securities it holds at inflated levels.
2. Credit will not truly flow until the health of banks, especially the smaller and community based banks, is substantially stronger. (more…)
Tags: AMA, America's banking industry, America's economy, American economy, American Jobbery Act, American Medical Association, another stimulus package, can we trust washington, community banks, cooking the books, delinquent loans, financial industry in America, health care legislation, health of banks in america, lack of trust in Washington, Medicare physician reimbursements, mini-stimulus, more stimulus spending, Obama Administration, Obama-care, Washington is part of the problem
Posted in General, Washington D.C. | 2 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on March 8th, 2010 11:24 AM |

U.S. Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA)
Banks are increasingly healthy, right? Our nation’s accounting rules promote real transparency and integrity in our financial reporting, right? Housing is bottoming, right? No, no, and no!
Why so pessimistic, you may ask? I am not pessimistic at all. I am merely searching for the truth in the midst of the smoke and mirrors on Wall Street and in Washington.
Thank you to our friends at 12th Street Capital for sharing a recently released letter from Congressman Barney Frank imploring the four largest banks involved in mortgage originations to write off second liens they are holding on their books at inflated values.
Why does Congressman Frank believe these loans need to be written off? (more…)
Tags: 12th Street Capital, Bank of America, banks, Barney Frank letter to banks, Brian Moynihan Kamie Dimon Vikram Pandit John Stumpf, Citigroup, Congressman Barney Frank, cooking the books, home equity loans, housing, Housing Crisis, JP Morgan, junior liens, moral hazards, principal reduction on mortgages, second liens, transparency, unintended consequences, value of second liens, value of second mortgages, Wall Street, Wells Fargo
Posted in General | 4 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on January 5th, 2010 11:11 AM |
Life will get increasingly expensive in America 2010.
Just because the calendar changed does not mean the smoke and mirrors disguising massive losses in banks, insurance companies, and federal and municipal operations have undergone some massive purging. If anything, the policies and programs developed in 2009 have likely only exacerbated the losses across a wide cross section of our economic landscape.
Our federal deficit obviously dwarfs all public and private deficits combined. That said, the obfuscation in other financial corners of our economic landscape are egregious. This obfuscation is often accomplished via an accounting practice known as smoothing. While this practice is not necessarily an indication of improper – if not illegal – financial chicanery, very often the two go hand in hand. Which financial institutions most seriously violated generally accepted accounting practices via smoothing? Hello Freddie. Hello Fannie. And we will pay.
Where else will American taxpayers pay? Public pensions. How much will the smoothie cost at the public pension Dairy Queen? How does $2 trillion sound, or a full four to five times the currently projected cost? (more…)
Tags: accounting in public pensions, accounting practices for public pensions, Boston Provident, cooking the books, cuts in municipal services, finances at states, financial accounting practices at Freddie and Fannie, Financial times U.s. Public Pensions Face $2 Trillion Deficit, increased taxes, layoffs in municipal services, mark-to-market accounting vs smoothing, municipal budget deficit, municipal default chances, municipal pension deficits, New Jersey investment council, obfuscation, Orin Kramer chairman of new jersey pension fund o, pension obligation estimate by Orin Kramer, pension obligations, public pension deficits, ramifications of public pension shortfall, smooth accounting, smoothing in accounting, smoothing out earnings, state finances, understating pension obligations and requirements, who is Orin Kramer
Posted in General, pension obligations | 5 Comments »
Posted by Larry Doyle on July 23rd, 2009 2:07 PM |
I have always thought the relaxation of the mark-to-market accounting standard by the Federal Accounting Standards Board (FASB) was nothing more than a vehicle for banks to ‘cook their books.’
Is the grill getting ready to be turned down, if not totally turned off? Kudos again to Bloomberg’s Jonathan Weil for his cutting edge review and analysis of major accounting issues and their impact on our financial industry. Weil reports, Accountants Gain Courage to Stand Up to Bankers:
The Financial Accounting Standards Board is girding for another brawl with the banking industry over mark-to-market accounting. And this time, it’s the FASB that has come out swinging.
It was only last April that the FASB caved to congressional pressure by passing emergency rule changes so that banks and insurance companies could keep long-term losses from crummy debt securities off their income statements.
Now the FASB says it may expand the use of fair-market values on corporate income statements and balance sheets in ways it never has before. Even loans would have to be carried on the balance sheet at fair value, under a preliminary decision reached July 15. The board might decide whether to issue a formal proposal on the matter as soon as next month.
I am truly heartened (yet simultaneously shocked) that the FASB would choose to pick this fight with the financial industry and their Congressional counterparts at this time. Washington has unequivocally laid out a plan to ‘buy time’ for financial institutions, and in turn the economy, to recover. This proposal, Financial Instruments: Improvements to Recognition and Measurement, would certainly promote transparency while likely exposing real problems within financial institutions.
Weil provides further piercing insights:
“They know they screwed up, and they took action to correct for it,” says Adam Hurwich, a partner at New York investment manager Jupiter Advisors LLC and a member of the FASB’s Investors Technical Advisory Committee. “The more pushback there’s going to be, the more their credibility is going to be established.”
The scope of the FASB’s initiative, which has received almost no attention in the press, is massive. All financial assets would have to be recorded at fair value on the balance sheet each quarter, under the board’s tentative plan.
This would mean an end to asset classifications such as held for investment, held to maturity and held for sale, along with their differing balance-sheet treatments. Most loans, for example, probably would be presented on the balance sheet at cost, with a line item below showing accumulated change in fair value, and then a net fair-value figure below that. For lenders, rule changes could mean faster recognition of loan losses, resulting in lower earnings and book values.
What would this rule change have meant for CIT?
The commercial lender, which is struggling to stay out of bankruptcy, said in a footnote to its last annual report that its loans as of Dec. 31 were worth $8.3 billion less than its balance sheet showed. The difference was greater than CIT’s reported shareholder equity. That tells you the company probably was insolvent months ago, only its book value didn’t show it.
What does the banking lobby think of this proposed rule change?
“I guess the nicest thing I can say is it’s difficult to find the good in this,” Donna Fisher, the American Bankers Association’s tax and accounting director in Washington, told me.
Weil concludes:
If the bankers don’t like it, that’s probably a good sign the FASB is doing something right.
Sense on Cents concurs and will be monitoring developments very closely. Thank you Mr. Weil.
LD
Tags: accounting changes for banks, accounting transparency within financial industry, Adam Hurwich member of FASB's Technical Advisory Committee, Adam Hurwich of Jupiter Advisers, bank lobbying on accounting changes, banks cookinig the books, banks thoughts about potential change to mark to market, Bloomberg's Jonathan Weil, changes to relaxation of mark to market, cooking the books, Donna fisher of American Bankers Association, fair value for assets, FASB mark to market relaxation, FASB relaxation of mark to market standard, FASB taking on the bankers and financial industry, FASB's Financial Instruments: Improvements to recognition and Measurement, loans would have to be valued at fair value, relaxation of mark to market, Weil writes Accountants Gain Courage to Stand Up to Bankers, will FASB reinstute mark to market accounting
Posted in General | 1 Comment »