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Breaking News…Citi “National Bank??”

Posted by Larry Doyle on February 22nd, 2009 10:24 PM |

UPDATED from late last night . . .

I just proposed on LD’s Dollars and Sense the idea that the markets would force Citigroup into the government’s hands. I thought it would occur within a month.  In just checking the WSJ newswire it appears that executives from Citi are negotiating with the government as I write this. The fact that Citi is looking to broker a transaction currently is effectively an admisson on their part that they are technically insolvent. While the U.S.  Eyes Large Stake in Citi, the common shareholders in Citi would be seriously diluted.  How would creditors be treated? At this stage I would guess that creditors will be untouched. I would imagine that if this transaction occurs, other banking shares will trade down in sympathy.
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Let’s Get a First Down

Posted by Larry Doyle on February 21st, 2009 9:10 AM |

throwing-a-hail-mary1Football fans know that ball control and time management are two very critical factors in determining outcome. While a coach may at times “go deep” in order to catch the opponent off guard, victory is determined by the hard work in the trenches and grinding out first downs. I know of no team that has ever established a winning discipline by “throwing Hail Mary’s.” The same can be said of investing. In the midst of these challenging markets, do not lose sight of your long range goals and the disciplines necessary to achieve them. Leave the “Hail Mary’s” for the gridiron entertainment.

The Wall Street Journal provides us with an excellent piece on this topic:

Desperate investors do desperate things.

A few months ago, most people were too terrified to do much more than wring their hands while sitting on them. But now, as the stock market takes another bullet every day and the yields on cash dwindle away, some investors seem to be flinging caution to the winds.

You can read the rest of the article at your leisure. Enjoy your weekend.   – LD –

As Stock Losses Loom, Don’t Throw a ‘Hail Mary’
by Jason Zweig
illustration by Heath Hinegardner
The Wall Street Journal; February 20, 2009

The Greatest Risk

Posted by Larry Doyle on December 21st, 2008 4:56 PM |

There remain no shortage of developments in the economy, the markets, and on “the street.” While I could continue to write at length on a number of those topics, I think it is healthy to take a weekend break from the regular hustle and bustle. With a break in the show, perhaps we can take a walk backstage and I can share with you some insights into Wall St. that occurred back in the ’90s but didn’t fully play out until 2008.

Please allow me to set the stage. I joined First Boston (now Credit Suisse) in 1983. I was very fortunate to gain employment at First Boston (FOB) as it was one of, if not, the hottest shops on the Street at the time. FOB was very much a traditional “white shoe” sort of firm. Propriety was important in executing business, although I am sure there were some sort of improprieties that occurred behind the scenes. I was too young to get dragged into anything that pushed the envelope. Although the head of HR threatened to fire me 6 weeks into my tenure (I think she was just trying to scare me), for the most part my 7 year career there was wonderful. I learned the business and developed many great relationships.

I was recruited to join Bear Stearns by an individual for whom I worked with for almost 15 years. I was very hesitant to go to Bear Stearns because it always had a reputation for being an extremely aggressive firm in every regard. That said, the person recruiting me was the most principled individual with whom I ever worked on Wall St. and he and I continue to have a very close relationship. I felt that I was working as much for him, if not even more, than I was working for Bear. I admired and respected his values and integrity. (more…)






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