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Looking Back and Looking Forward

Posted by Larry Doyle on February 24, 2009 2:41 PM |

John Mauldin, one of our Economic All-Stars (see sidebar on left), provides personal insights and perspectives that are truly cutting edge. Additionally, John has relationships that provide real clarity. 

John Mauldin recently published commentary from Paul McCulley of Pimco and former Fed chairman Paul Volker. I had the good fortune of working with Mr. McCulley in the late ’90s at Union Bank of Switzerland. He is a true gem. Mr. Volker, like him or not, is regarded as one of the world’s leading central bankers. Their comments are both comprehensive and understandable as we look to navigate the economic landscape!

Mr. McCulley looks backward and reviews the following:

  — the basics of our banking system
  — a review of the “unregulated” shadow banking system
  — the deleveraging process
  — questions on the implementation of the government backstops, including the Term Asset-Backed Lending Facility to restart the consumer lending markets, and the public-private partnership.

Mr. Volker looks forward and provides his thoughts on the following:

  — future landscape of commercial and investment banking (he does not call for explicit repeal of Glass-Stegall, but it sounds like it)
  — need for global regulation
  — reconstruction of rating agency model
  — praise for the Canadian banking system, based on fiscal discipline

Although an extensive piece, I highly recommend reading Mauldin’s commentary, Saving Capitalist Banking and a Speech by Paul Volker


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