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What’s Going On: Market Pullback, Pump ‘n Dump?

Posted by Larry Doyle on January 30th, 2014 7:02 AM |

The consensus opinion by most market strategists coming into the year was that our equity markets would follow up the 25-30% gains of 2013 with another 8-10% gain this year.

The markets will have to experience a hellacious rally in the next two trading days or make an exception to an age old rule that January’s price action sets the direction for the year as a whole.

So what is going on with the markets? Are they simply experiencing a long overdue pullback? No doubt about that. Aside from a mild pullback last August and September of approximately 3-4%, the S&P 500 Index went straight up for the next 3 months to the tune of 12% to end the year with a 30% gain.

The 4% loss year to date certainly qualifies as a pullback but comes nowhere close to qualifying as a correction which market technicians define as a 10% decline.  The S&P 500 would have to retrace another 110 points on top of the ~75 points it has lost year to date to meet that definition.  (more…)






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