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Marks and Klarman: There’s No Free Lunch

Posted by Larry Doyle on August 8th, 2013 9:01 AM |

What will future generations do with the massive tab that has been and continues to be run up under the guise of propping our economy?

That is not a rhetorical question.

Many individuals far wiser than I maintain that we will experience generational defaults as our children and children’s children determine that the bills being left to them are not worth paying or able to be paid. That day may not be all that far off. In fact, it has already come in selected municipalities in our nation with surely more to follow.

For more on this topic, I thank the regular reader who shared a fabulous read by Oaktree’s Chairman Howard Marks. Those with the time will appreciate the full memo. I welcome highlighting Marks’ concluding comments in which he shares the wisdom of The Baupost Group’s Seth Klarman as well: (more…)

Global Confidence Rollercoaster Hits Downdraft

Posted by Larry Doyle on February 10th, 2010 8:28 AM |

Rollercoaster…..!!!

I used the analogy of this amusement ride yesterday to describe our global economy and markets. A day at Six Flags seems far more appealing than the continued twists and turns of our global economy. Today, the riders on our global economic rollercoaster indicate they see further downward motion with hard twists and turns ahead. Bloomberg surveyed close to 2,500 ‘riders’ the first week in February and reports, Global Confidence Ebbs on Concern Budget Gaps Will Hurt Rebound:

Confidence in the world economy dropped in February on concern worsening government finances in some European nations will derail the global recovery, according to a Bloomberg survey of users on six continents.

The Bloomberg Professional Global Confidence Index dropped to 54.9 from 66.6 in January, when the reading was at the highest level since the series began two years ago.

What drove the 20% decline in this reading? In one man’s opinion: (more…)






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