Greece Facing “Titanic” Problem
Posted by Larry Doyle on February 16, 2010 10:38 AM |
April 15, 1912. Early in the morning of this fateful day, the unsinkable Titanic went below the waters of the icy Atlantic and sank to its eventual berth on the ocean floor.
In the process of hitting the iceberg that dealt the Titanic its fateful blow, the air of invincibility surrounding this greatest of ships became an air of inevitability.
With all due respect to those who perished that cold night in those icy waters, are we witnessing a similar dynamic playing out on our global economic landscape for the once proud nation of Greece?
Were derivative transactions executed on behalf of Greece by Goldman Sachs mere band-aids covering massive holes in the hull of this once proud nation? No doubt.
The Telegraph highlights the inevitable reality of Greece’s fiscal disaster in writing, Greece Tells Eurozone It Needs Time: ‘We’re Trying to Change the Course of the Titanic’:
The country is the first in the euro’s 11-year history to require an emergency statement of political support from other European countries as it struggles to weather pressure from financial markets worried about its massive debt.
But Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou warned against asking the government, which faces growing public dissent over budget cuts, to do too much too fast.
“We’re trying to change the course of the Titanic, it cannot be done in a day,” Mr Papaconstantinou said ahead of meeting with euro zone finance ministers in Brussels.
“If additional fiscal measures are needed, we will take them. Today it is Greece, tomorrow it can be another country. Any European country can be prey to speculative forces.”
Speculative forces? Isn’t that what we heard from the captains of commerce heading Bear Stearns and Lehman Bros.?
Excessive debts combined with cuts in easy and ready access to liquidity is a death knell for any entity. While Greece will very likely be afforded some type of lifeboat by the EU, do not expect this process to be without significant pain. The Telegraph highlights as much:
Greece faces two major hurdles in the coming months, with two lots of more than €8bn of government bonds to refinance on April and in May. Markets had hoped last week that meetings this week might generate commitments of actual financial aid.
But European Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn suggested that the talks in Brussels, which officials said were not aimed at producing a concrete rescue plan, would focus on demanding more of Greece than it has announced.
I empathize with the Greeks and the reality of their dire fiscal situation. That said, nations can not operate with massive holes in their fiscal foundations and think that the icy waters of the financial markets will not ultimately take them down.
There is a serious lesson in this Greek drama for all of us.