Why Is the Euro Plummeting?
Posted by Larry Doyle on March 25th, 2010 9:38 AM |
The Euro is plummeting in value because of the ongoing fiscal problems in Greece and the recent downgrade of Portugal’s sovereign credit, correct? Well, these are the most recent developments, but the problems go much deeper than that.
Although the very nature of short term mentality in a heavily dominated short term trading environment would point to these problems within Greece and Portugal as the primary reasons for the problems with the Euro, let’s work a little harder and navigate a little deeper.
First off, we need to accept the premise that we are experiencing structural changes in the context of a secular market. Our friends in Washington and on Wall Street (as well as other global financial centers) work very hard to present our current economy and market as possessing merely cyclical risk. Don’t buy it. (more…)
A New Bull or a Bear Market Rally?
Posted by Larry Doyle on May 17th, 2009 9:02 AM |
Are we entering the initial stages of a bull market or experiencing a bear market rally? Does our economy have the requisite liquidity to finance the deficit or is the liquidity trapped by embedded losses in the banking sector? Will tax revenues be sufficient to address municipal obligations? Ultimately, what does it all mean for our economy and the global economy.
Our Economic All-Star John Mauldin and his colleague Niels Jensen of Absolute Return address these critical questions in an easy to understand fashion in The $33,000,000,000,000 Question.
As we enter the ‘Brave New World’ economy, I believe it is critically important we revise our mental approach to the economy and markets. I share the concerns voiced in this piece. If nothing else, Jensen’s detailed analysis provides insights into the hurdles we face as we try to move forward. I hope it helps you navigate your personal economic landscape.
LD
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