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Posts Tagged ‘ISM’s New Export Orders’

My Focus on Exports Not Employment

Posted by Larry Doyle on August 3rd, 2012 9:50 AM |

The monthly jobs report came out and is viewed as slightly better than expected but provides both sides of the political debate sufficient fodder to spin it to their advantage.

While equity markets want to put a happy face on the report (an increase in non-farm payroll of 163,000 jobs along with an uptick in the unemployment rate to 8.3%), I have little real confidence in the report signaling meaningful improvement in our economy.

Why am I concerned that our economy is poised to slow and potentially contract? Forget the employment report, let’s look elsewhere to get a better read on economic growth going into year end.¬† (more…)






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